Making learning and work count Labour market LIVE from Learning and Work Institute 12 November 2019
Learning and Work Institute comment: |
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Chart 1: UK unemployment (ILO) The latest unemployment figure is 1,306,000. It has fallen by 8,000 from the figure published last month. The unemployment rate was down by 0.1 percentage points to 3.8%. |
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Chart 2: Percentage unemployed not claiming Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance The proportion of unemployed people not claiming Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance is now 10.3% (134,000). |
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Chart 3: Youth long-term unemployment (six months and over, 18-24) Youth long-term unemployment (which can include students) has fallen by 8,000 from last month’s figure and is now 117,000. The youth long-term Jobseeker’s Allowance count (but not UC) remains far behind, at 9,100. The count fell by 900 this month. |
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Chart 4: Adult long-term unemployment (12 months and over, 25+) Adult long-term unemployment on the survey measure is now 237,000. The Jobseeker’s Allowance measure is 138,100. |
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Chart 5: Unemployment rates by age The 18 to 24 year old unemployment rate (including students) is 10.8% of the economically active – excluding one million economically inactive students from the calculation. The rate for those aged 25 to 49 is 2.8%. For those aged 50 and over it is 2.6%. The quarterly change is zero for 18 to 24 year olds, down 0.1 for 25 to 49 year olds, and up 0.1 for the over-50s. |
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Chart 6: Young people not in employment, full-time education or training The number of out of work young people who are not in full-time education (997,000) has risen in the past quarter by 33,000, or 3.4%. The rise was largely among the inactive, with the number of unemployed young people not in full-time education or training rising at a lower rate. |
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Chart 7: Youth unemployment The number of unemployed young people has risen by 6,000 since last month’s figures, to 500,000. Meanwhile, the number of young Universal Credit or Jobseeker’s Allowance claimants rose last month by 6,000, to 230,100. There are 129,000 unemployed young people who are not in education, and do not claim Jobseeker’s Allowance, 36.6% of all unemployed young people who are not students. |
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Chart 8: Jobseeker’s Allowance and Universal Credit claimant count The ONS headline Jobseeker’s Allowance and Universal Credit claimant count increased by 33,000 in October, taking the total to 1,218,000. ONS' claimant count before seasonal adjustment is up by 29,800 to 1,196,4006. This change is directly comparable to the local level claimant count changes published today. Learning and Work Institute's seasonally adjusted estimate has risen by 28,200 to 1,222,000. |
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Chart 9: Vacancies – whole economy survey Vacancies (in the Office for National Statistics survey of the whole economy) fell for the ninth month running, to 800,000. As the number of vacancies is quite volatile, and frequently revised, the Office for National Statistics uses a three-month average. |
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Chart 10: Unemployed people per vacancy There are 1.6 unemployed people per vacancy. |
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Chart 11: UK employment Employment increased by 60,000 on the figure published last month, to 32,753,000. |
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Chart 12: Employment rate in the UK The employment rate has fallen by 0.1 percentage points over the quarter, to 76.0%. |
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Chart 13: Claimants for inactive benefits and the economically inactive – inactivity benefits The number of people inactive owing to long-term sickness rose over the last quarter, as did the benefit figure. This chart shows claimants of Employment and Support Allowance, and Universal Credit planning for work and those with no work requirements (both out of work) (the orange dots), compared with survey figures for the economically inactive owing to long-term sickness. |
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Chart 14: Claimants for inactive benefits and the economically inactive – lone parents The survey figures (showing those looking after family) fell slowly while benefit measures fell more sharply. The benefit figures include lone parents remaining on Income Support as lone parents and Universal Credit claimants in the planning for work group. The latest DWP data does not show any still on Jobseeker's Allowance. This chart shows claimants of out of work benefits as lone parents (the orange dots) and survey figures for all those who are economically inactive looking after family (including couple families). |
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Chart 15: Employment rate quarterly change in regions – July to September 2019 This quarter, six regions showed a rise in the employment rate, led by the West Midlands and the North West. The employment rate fell in six regions, led by Scotland and Wales. |
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Chart 16: Unemployment rate quarterly change in regions – July to September 2019 Six regions showed an improvement in the unemployment rate this quarter. Six showed a worsening. The rises were led by the North East and Scotland. |
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Chart 17: Inactivity rate quarterly change in regions – July to September 2019 Overall, there was a 0.1 percentage point rise in the inactivity rate. Eight regions showed rises in inactivity, led by Wales and Scotland. |
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